Last week, the news website Axios reported that U.S. officials had spoken to allied governments about the possibility of restoring a limited version of the suspended 2015 nuclear deal with the Islamic Republic. Such an arrangement would exchange a slowdown of the Iranian nuclear program for a partial reduction in sanctions—a far cry from the “longer and stronger” deal previously promised by the Biden administration. Jacob Nagel comments:

The [proposal] is not a preparation for a broader, longer, and better deal, as its supporters (both American and Israeli claim), because this will be the last deal. Tehran will ostensibly agree to a few concessions and will receive many benefits in return. This was true a few years ago and is even more so now, in light of the changes since then. The deal would legitimize most of Iran’s violations and will allow Iran to retain assets obtained through breaching [its previous commitments].

Once the Iranians will get significant concessions, a bigger, broader follow-up deal is only an illusion.

The Iranians realize that Washington does not want to respond, despite all their nuclear violations, attacks on American interests in the Gulf and in the Middle East, human-rights violations, and killing of women and girls in Iran—including perhaps with chemical weapons as recently reported—as well as massive support for Russia in the Ukraine war, including transferring weapons to the Russians and helping them to kill Ukrainian women and children. If the Americans don’t respond to all those violations and even offer the Iranians a partial deal, why would the regime agree to any further restrictions on nuclear and missile programs, when it got almost everything it wanted from the small deal while the American president refuses to put a credible military threat on the table?

Source » mosaicmagazine